Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 247.949189 280.010646 315.783568 358.868522 409.632718 467.887070 540.289669
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 200.134752 241.801412 292.506157 359.586315 447.266475 559.791685 718.153456
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 169.696360 213.657132 270.112214 349.427000 460.473880 614.371374 851.161299
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 148.548526 193.062244 252.672690 340.521944 470.600933 662.857850 982.416183
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 138.202014 184.944042 250.024387 350.379488 507.249554 754.386556 1198.938176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 127.584177 174.900848 242.949604 351.979611 530.559321 828.194802 1403.446569
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 116.726785 163.208694 231.867201 345.457743 539.048978 877.865304 1576.005487
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 109.224003 155.642070 225.999614 346.110573 559.056957 950.648453 1813.000133
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 101.015938 146.201505 216.164809 338.769434 563.516498 994.784266 2001.859749
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 95.011967 139.635758 210.202373 337.146912 577.862289 1060.492712 2259.436868
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 87.092863 129.402882 197.328555 321.856227 563.898836 1065.225984 2370.302260
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 85.082364 128.519783 199.873082 334.534761 606.508378 1199.445559 2864.141386
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 83.552190 128.415512 203.918357 350.899467 660.371763 1374.456031 3560.058592
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.483201 123.744135 199.592419 350.741241 679.284796 1471.665300 4071.091385
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 74.404522 116.971370 190.925981 340.966861 675.243486 1509.976213 4405.606996
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 69.952956 110.992459 183.230864 332.325682 672.498537 1551.344045 4774.980915
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 68.309698 109.829506 184.301541 341.884588 714.219625 1726.237705 5769.964806
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 65.767507 106.877746 181.748310 343.435894 736.686859 1852.231920 6653.423425
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 62.482121 102.370503 175.869889 337.112444 738.226720 1915.184292 7295.377372
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 60.247618 99.651618 173.256662 337.745456 758.037609 2042.456696 8367.545296
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 57.322278 95.480597 167.483550 330.626622 755.959824 2096.716860 9094.842263
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 55.188773 92.676581 164.250082 329.053068 769.022856 2208.152853 10273.358128
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 51.841897 87.405823 155.701663 314.220873 742.463019 2169.648549 10466.727219